For managing transportation infrastructure, particularly during disruptions or around new developments, short-term demand forecasting is crucial.
Due to "tidal flows" of travel and use, many bike-sharing programs struggle to manage service provision and bike fleet rebalancing. Although short-term traffic demand estimates and machine learning techniques like deep neural networks have recently advanced, relatively few studies have looked into this issue utilizing a feature engineering approach to guide model selection. From real-world bike usage records, this study extracts unique time-lagged variables, such as network node Out-strength, In-strength, Out-degree, In-degree, and PageRank, that describe graph topologies and flow interactions. According to the experiment's findings, graph-based features are more crucial for demand forecasting than more widely used meteorological data.
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