It is known that 60% of the students at a large university have a job and 40% do not have a job. If three of these students are randomly selected, what is the probability at least one does not have a job? (Hint: the compliment of this event is all three have jobs.)

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Answer:

78.4% probability at least one does not have a job

Step-by-step explanation:

For each student, there are only two possible outcomes. Either they have a job, or they do not have a job. The probability of a student having a job is independent of other students. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

In which [tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

And p is the probability of X happening.

60% of the students at a large university have a job

This means that [tex]p = 0.6[/tex]

Three of these students are randomly selected

This means that [tex]n = 3[/tex]

What is the probability at least one does not have a job?

Either all of them have a job, or at least one does not. The sum of the probabilities of these events is decimal 1. So

[tex]P(X < 3) + P(X = 3) = 1[/tex]

We want P(X < 3). Then

[tex]P(X < 3) = 1 - P(X = 3)[/tex]

In which

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 3) = C_{3,3}.(0.6)^{3}.(0.4)^{0} = 0.216[/tex]

[tex]P(X < 3) = 1 - P(X = 3) = 1 - 0.216 = 0.784[/tex]

78.4% probability at least one does not have a job