Answer:
The conclusion is that that this country needs an ally to help guide to defend a weak country, but there is one problem...that it may start up a war with Russia.
Explanation:
In the first three sentences, it describes that Nicholas II needs help defending a weak country. The reason why it could start a war is probably the fact that Russia is planning an attack on Serbia, but king Nicholas II wants to protect it. If the Russians find out this, it could spark a war.
Hope this helps! : )
